Saturday, December 29, 2018

College Bowl Odds

2018 College Bowl Odds: Confidence football picks, optimal predictions, rankings, lines from unbiased model

SportsLine simulated every bowl game 10,000 times

by CBS Sports Staff

The 2018-19 college football bowl schedule is rolling along, with multiple games scheduled almost daily between now and New Year's Day. That includes nine bowl games between teams ranked in the AP Top 25. In the latest college football odds, No. 13 Washington State is a 2.5-point favorite over No. 24 Iowa State at the Alamo Bowl, while No. 12 Penn State is a 6.5-point favorite over No. 14 Kentucky in the Citrus Bowl. And in one of the tightest college football lines of bowl season, Nevada is a 1.5-point underdog to Arkansas State in the Arizona Bowl. With college football odds and spreads constantly changing, be sure to check out the top college football picks and bowl predictions for every game from SportsLine's advanced computer model before locking in your own plays.


The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. Over the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors on its top-rated point-spread picks.

The model enters the 2018 college football bowl season on a blistering 45-25 run on all top-rated picks. It also has an extremely strong track record when it comes to picking bowl games straight up, going 82-40 over the past three seasons -- a success rate of almost 70 percent. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now this model has revealed its 2018 college football picks and projections, and you can get them only over at SportsLine. We can tell you that one of the model's most confident bowl picks is Virginia Tech covering as a 5.5-point underdog against Cincinnati in the 2018 Military Bowl.

The Hokies had a tough season after losing starting quarterback Josh Jackson to a fractured fibula. However, they found their stride down the stretch with wins over bowl-eligible Marshall and Virginia in their final two games to get to six wins and earn a postseason berth.

Virginia Tech had at least 450 yards of offense in each of those wins, and the model is expecting quarterback Ryan Willis to lead the charge on what should be another productive day offensively. According to the projections, Willis puts up 280 yards of total offense with two touchdowns to help the Hokies cover nearly 65 percent of the time. There's also plenty of value backing the Under (53.5), as it hits in 65 percent of simulations.

Another college football prediction from SportsLine's model: No. 5 Ohio State (-6.5) covers against No. 9 Washington in the 2019 Rose Bowl on New Year's Day.

It's the final game as head coach of the Buckeyes for Urban Meyer, and it's also the end of era for Washington as quarterback Jake Browning, a four-year starter, plays his last game for the Huskies. He helped navigate Washington (10-3) to a four-game winning streak, including a huge Apple Cup victory over Washington State and a Pac-12 title game win over Utah, to land the Huskies in a New Year's Six Bowl.

But the Buckeyes finished just outside the final College Football Playoff field and should be highly motivated to prove they belonged, and send Meyer out on a high note. The model is calling for Ohio State quarterback Dwayne Haskins to throw for close to 300 yards as the Buckeyes cover in almost 60 percent of simulations. The under (58) also has plenty of value because that hits almost 70 percent of the time.

No comments:

Post a Comment