Tuesday, June 26, 2018

Weekend Box Office Results

'Jurassic World 2' Delivers $150M Debut; 'Incredibles 2' Reaches $350M Domestic

by Brad Brevet

Surpassing expectations, Universal and Amblin Entertainment's Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom got off to a strong start. With an estimated $150 million for Fallen Kingdom, this is only the second time ever two different films have brought in over $100 million over two consecutive weekends. The first time was in 2007 when Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End opened with $114.7 million following Shrek the Third's $121.6 million opening the weekend prior. Disney and Pixar's Incredibles 2 followed up its monster debut weekend last week with a second place finish this weekend as its domestic cume has already topped $350 million in just ten days.


With an estimated $150 millionJurassic World: Fallen Kingdom's opening is down ~28% compared to the $208.8 million debut for its 2015 predecessor. However, given the fact the film was competing with Incredibles 2 for a lot of the same audience, this is a solid start, especially when coupled with an "A-" CinemaScore, just a step down from the last film's "A". The film played to an audience that was 54% male with 44% of the overall audience aged 25 years and older.

This big test will be over the coming weeks, especially when you consider the 2015 film managed an astounding 3.12x multiplier after its then, record-breaking opening. Fallen Kingdom doesn't face any new, direct competition next weekend, but the following weekend sees the release of Disney and Marvel's Ant-Man and the Wasp followed by Hotel Transylvania 3 and Skyscraper. 2015's Jurassic World didn't drop more than 50% until its ninth weekend in release, it will be tough for Fallen Kingdom to deliver similar weekend-to-weekend performances as a domestic performance around $350-375 million seems like a good bet right now.

Fallen Kingdom is in its third weekend in international release and this weekend added 17 new markets, debuting at #1 in 16 of them. Overall the weekend delivered an estimated $106.7 million from 68 total markets for an overseas total of $561.5 million. New markets include Mexico ($12.3 million), Brazil ($9.2 million) and Australia ($7.9 million) with China still leading the way totaling $202.6 million as it begins its second weekend in release. The film will release in no new major markets next weekend with Japan debuting on July 13. The film's worldwide total currently stands at $711.5 million, ranking as the third largest worldwide release of 2018 thus far, well on its way to a billion run.

Disney and Pixar's Incredibles 2 landed in second place over its sophomore frame, dropping ~55.7% with an estimated $81 million. The film's domestic cume now stands at $350 million after ten days in release, making it one of the top ten animated films of all-time, already surpassing the $341.2 million run for Zootopia and just shy of Inside Out's $356.4 million run in 2015. It is also now the fourth largest Pixar release ever, topping Finding Nemo's $339.7 million run in 2003.

Internationally, Incredibles 2 opened this weekend in China, India and Thailand and brought in an estimated $56.8 million over the weekend from approximately 44% of the overall international market for an overseas cume just shy of $135 million. The film's opening in China reached an estimated $21.2 million, the largest ever opening for a Pixar title in China. The top market remains Mexico with an estimated $23.5 million followed by China, Australia ($15m), Russia ($10.4m), Argentina ($6.7m) and Colombia ($6.2m). Combined, Incredibles 2's worldwide cume currently stands at $485.1 million.

Warner Bros.'s heist flick Ocean's 8 had a fantastic hold this weekend, dropping just 38.6% for an estimated $11.65 million three-day, pushing the film's cume over $100 million as it begins its third week in release. Internationally, the film debuted in several new markets including the UK ($5.9m), Russia ($2.7m), Germany ($1.8m), Netherlands ($1.2m) and the United Arab Emirates ($1.1m) bringing in an estimated $26.9 million for the weekend for an overseas cume totaling $70.6 million for a global tally reaching $171 million.

WB also landed in fourth place with their R-rated comedy Tag bringing in an estimated $8.2 million. The 45% second weekend drop helps push the domestic cume over $30 million for the $28 million production.

Rounding out the top five is Fox's Deadpool 2, which finished with an estimated $5.25 million as it begins its sixth week in release. The film's domestic cume has now topped $300 million. Deadpool 2 also reached a milestone internationally, topping $400 million thanks to an additional $5.3 million this weekend bringing the film's worldwide cume to $707.1 million. The film will debut in its final international market in Egypt on June 27.

Just outside the top five, in sixth place, is Disney and Lucasfilms's Solo: A Star Wars Story with an estimated $4.5 million and a domestic cume that has now reached $202.2 million. Internationally the film added $2.6 million this weekend for an international total that has now topped $150 million and a global tally totaling $353.5 million.

Elsewhere in the top ten, Focus Features expanded the release of their Mister Rogers documentary Won't You be My Neighbor? into 348 locations (+252) where it brought in an estimated $1.875 million for a domestic cume that now tops $4 million as it begins its third week in release. Focus plans on expanding into over 500 theaters next weekend leading into the July 4th holiday.

In limited release IFC's The Catcher was a Spy debuted in 49 theaters with an estimated $122,494 ($2,500 PTA); China Lion's Lobster Cop brought in an estimated $35,000 from 12 locations ($2,917 PTA); Sony Classics's Boundaries brought in an estimated $30,395 from five theaters ($6,079 PTA); Oscilloscope's The King opened with an estimated $29,050 from two theaters ($14,525 PTA); Magnolia's Damsel launched in three theaters with an estimated $21,000 ($7,000 PTA); Grasshopper's Araby debuted with $10,179 from one theater; and Cohen Media released Spiral in two locations for an estimated $3,682.

Finally, it's worth mentioning we are currently in the midst of the largest June ever with the month's box office already totaling over $1 billion. This is almost $39 million more than where we were at the same point in June 2015 when the first Jurassic World was dominating.

Next weekend's new wide releases include Sony's sequel Sicario: Day of the Soldado, debuting in 2,900+ theaters, and Lionsgate's Uncle Drew in ~2,600 theaters.

June 22-24, 2018
Weekend
TWLWTitle (click to view)StudioWeekend Gross% ChangeTheater Count / ChangeAverageTotal GrossBudget*Week #
1NJurassic World: Fallen KingdomUni.$150,001,000-4,475-$33,520$150,001,000$1701
21Incredibles 2BV$80,928,000-55.7%4,410-$18,351$350,374,690-2
32Ocean's 8WB$11,650,000-38.6%3,656-489$3,187$100,385,760$703
43TagWB$8,200,000-45.1%3,382-$2,425$30,367,545$282
55Deadpool 2Fox$5,250,000-39.5%2,420-792$2,169$304,150,321$1106
64Solo: A Star Wars StoryBV$4,045,000-59.6%2,338-844$1,730$202,176,870-5
77HereditaryA24$3,809,000-44.4%2,002-996$1,903$35,000,966-3
86SuperflyCol.$3,350,000-51.2%2,220-$1,509$15,266,395$162
98Avengers: Infinity WarBV$2,482,000-54.4%1,456-708$1,705$669,466,449-9
1015Won't You Be My Neighbor?Focus$1,875,000+87.0%348+252$5,388$4,129,778-3

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